Thursday, October 30, 2025

🐮 Cattle Smuggling : Mexico

Cattle smuggling into and through Mexico is a major criminal enterprise, primarily run by organized crime syndicates
The illicit trade poses significant public health threats and has recently fueled a New World screwworm outbreak, leading the U.S. to repeatedly suspend livestock imports from Mexico since late 2024.
The criminal operation 
• Source of smuggled cattle: Most illegal cattle are brought into southern Mexico from Central American countries, including Guatemala, Honduras, and Nicaragua.
• Organized crime control: Drug cartels and other criminal groups have expanded their operations to include cattle trafficking, seeing it as a lucrative, low-risk business.
Modus operandi: The animals are illegally moved across the border—often via rafts on rivers—and are then "laundered" into Mexico's legal supply chain using falsified health documents and black-market ear tags. In a single year, an estimated 800,000 cattle are smuggled into Mexico.
Consequences of smuggling 
• Disease outbreak: The illegal movement of livestock is a major factor in the re-emergence of the New World screwworm (NWS) in Mexico. The pest, which was eradicated from the U.S. in the 1970s, has been found dangerously close to the U.S.-Mexico border.
• The U.S. has closed its border to Mexican cattle several times since late 2024, halting a trade worth approximately $1 billion annually and contributing to higher beef prices in the U.S..
Mexican ranchers have suffered greatly from the import ban, with losses estimated at $25 to $30 million per month.
• Illegal ranching, fueled by this illicit trade, is causing deforestation and environmental degradation in protected areas in Central America.
• It has also been linked to violence against Indigenous communities in these areas.
• Difficulty tracking origin: Smuggled cattle arrive in Mexico without proper documentation or sanitary inspections, making it nearly impossible to trace their origins.
Corruption: Corrupt officials and lax enforcement at Mexico's southern border have allowed criminal networks to operate with little resistance.
• Inadequate resources: Mexican authorities often have limited capacity to address the problem, and cattle ranchers say federal action is needed to stop the illegal trade.
The path forward 
International cooperation: The U.S. and Mexico are collaborating on efforts to eradicate the screwworm, with the U.S. investing in a sterile fly production facility in Mexico.
Improved traceability: Modernizing Mexico's livestock traceability system with harder-to-counterfeit technologies, such as electronic chips, has been proposed as a solution.
Enhanced surveillance: Both countries are heightening surveillance along the border to detect and prevent further spread of the screwworm.

📈 Dec US Dollar DXZ25 : Monthly

Sunday, October 26, 2025

⚠️ Wednesday : 2 Rate Decisions

🔷 US Inflation Rate Rises Less Than Expected

The US annual inflation rate rose to 3.0% in September from 2.9% in August, slightly below market expectations of 3.1%. 

It was the highest rate since January, mainly due to a jump in energy prices

Meanwhile, core inflation eased to 3.0% from 3.1%, while monthly headline and core CPI increased 0.3% and 0.2%, respectively.

🔷 US Dollar Update