Saturday, June 21, 2025

US Fed's Waller


Fed's Waller: I'm all in favor of saying 'maybe we should think about cutting' in July.

  • I'm all in favor of saying 'maybe we should think about cutting at the next meeting'
  • Tariffs 'are not going to cause persistent inflation'
  • Tariffs will be a one-time factor
  • The Fed should not wait for the job market to crash in order to cut rates
  • The job market is solid but starting to see things like high unemployment for recent grads
  • The Fed has been on pause for six months waiting for an inflation shock that has not arrived
  • The Fed has room to bring rates down and then can see what happens with inflation
  • The Fed is in a position as early as July for cuts
  • Tariffs will not be completely passed through, a 10% tariff on all imports would not have much impact on overall inflation
  • I'm not sure if the committee would go along

Copper Update

Copper futures hovered below $4.40 per pound on Friday and were on track for a weekly drop of around 24%, pressured by a surprise US tariff ...